Key support levels could decide whether this is a breakout or just a fakeout.
Key takeaways
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What’s going on with BTC’s latest pullback?
It could be a shakeout, but a drop below $116K-$117K might confirm a larger reversal.
What does the movement of 32K dormant BTC mean?
It could be profit-taking or repositioning, but it also shows confidence in market liquidity.
Bitcoin’s [BTC] rally has everyone talking again!
After reaching new highs, traders piled in with heavy leverage. However, a swift market pullback is already flushing out the overly confident.
Now, attention turns to whether bulls can defend the $116K–$117K zone, a key level that could determine if this rally is a genuine breakout or just another bull trap.
Leverage builds up
Bitcoin’s Futures Open Interest (OI) surged sharply as traders piled into long positions during the recent breakout. OI across exchanges climbed past $48 billion.
Source: Glassnode
However, the latest pullback is now putting these leveraged positions to the test.
Such corrections often act as a leverage reset, shaking out weaker hands before the next leg up. Will buyers step in to hold key support levels, or will the market drop further before bouncing back?
Traders turn cautious
Following the surge in OI, Bitcoin has entered a high-stress trading zone.
Data from Alphractal’s heatmap shows dense liquidation clusters forming between $122K and $126K, with another major zone near $117K; a level analysts are watching closely.
Source: Alphractal
According to Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal, many inexperienced traders tend to add short positions during such volatile phases, often falling into market traps.
He warns that a drop below $116K-$117K could mark a shift toward distribution, but for now, conditions remain controlled.
Old coins stir as LTHs react
Over 32,000 BTC aged between 3 and 5 years moved on-chain today; this is the largest shift of dormant coins in nearly 1.5 years.
Source: CryptoQuant
Moves like this from LTHs often come before big shifts in the market. Sometimes it’s profit-taking, other times it’s just reshuffling. It might seem bearish at first, but it also shows confidence in market activity and liquidity.
AMBCrypto previously reported that institutional buying remains strong, with the Coinbase Premium Index staying positive and funding rates balanced.
When older coins begin to circulate while institutional inflows persist, it means a maturing market where profit realization and accumulation can coexist.
Next: Polymarket vs. Kalshi: $2B NYSE push signals ‘regime change’
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